We’re hearing about Randomised Controlled Trials (RCTs) a lot more since Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo, and Michael Kremer won the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2019. RCTs are no doubt the gold standard in proving attributable impacts caused by a development intervention.
They are a gold standard because randomization is the most unbiased method to find an ‘exchangeable’ control or comparison group where we measure what would be the outcome in absence of the programme (the counterfactual); in common parlance, this is also called obtaining ‘balance at baseline’ between treatment and control group. When the mean outcome in the control group is subtracted out from the outcome level in the treatment or intervention group, we get the attributable magnitude of impacts caused by the intervention. In RCTs, the design of the trial is the king (sample size, how to randomize, how we will measure the outcome), and not wizardry in statistical or econometric estimation!
If RCT design is the king, then the proper management and implementation of this design is the “king’s hand”. If the implementation and management are messed up, the nice theoretical properties of RCTs are compromised and the results can be invalid. Analytical solutions exist to subdue the adverse effect of non-adherence to the trial protocol, but not without compromises which might have made a non-randomized or observation evaluation a better choice in hindsight.
Read on to know the four most critical components of managing RCTs.
Early discussions with stakeholders, primarily program implementers, funders, or government partners goes a long way in the successful implementation of a program. Discuss and decide on the following:
The above discussion is necessary to build a strong relationship and mutual trust between evaluators and key stakeholders, which eventually helps in the smooth implementation of the programme. But, this is just a start, this relationship needs to be continuously nurtured while maintaining the independence and credibility of the evaluation team; a fine balance indeed.
If there is no intervention, then there is no RCT! Therefore, mechanisms to check and validate the progress of the programme are important. See if everything is working as intended and if the ‘theory of change’ is indeed working as expected, and in a rare case, whether the intervention design or implementation plans need to change. Process evaluations combined with monitoring systems are the best-suited methods for the above assessment.
Just as the intervention is important to the RCT so is not having the same intervention in the control group. Such contamination of control groups happens when a part of the control group opts in for the intervention or gets the intervention from some other sources (and we cannot say no). Contamination will usually underestimate the impacts of the intervention. Therefore, it is in the programmes best interest to keep a tab on the control area through periodic random sample surveys, site visits, etc. These activities should be light touch. Sometimes, control areas are those which will be taken up by the programme at a later phase, and hence this data can help in programming activities in future as well.
Learning with someone who has worked hands-on in programme implementation is never a bad idea; so what if a person doesn’t have a Ph.D.! Visit grass-root level implementers (with permissions of their management) to gain special insights on pathways to impact, key barriers, and enablers, beneficiary perspectives, comments on the theory of change. Trust us, you will get lots of insights that will help in better analysis and interpretation of findings. You will also be able to better assess any risk of serious deviation from RCT protocol which can put a question mark on the theoretical validity of your impact estimates.
We put these tips into practice in all evaluations we do at NEERMAN (of course subject to the funding constraints!)
SUGGESTED: Watch this webinar recording on the Design and Management of RCTs.
We’re also happy to answer any RCT related questions if Google has failed you. Set a micro-meeting with us.
As a Research Assistant, Alron provides support on projects, proposals, data analysis, ideation. He has over two years of experience in MIS, economic analyses, and policy research writing. He is passionate about migration-refugee crisis, decoding and mitigating disinformation mechanisms, and has written extensively on these topics, among others.
Alron holds a bachelor’s in economics from the University of Mumbai and is currently pursuing a Diploma in International Affairs.
As a Research Assistant, Alron provides support on projects, proposals, data analysis, ideation. He has over two years of experience in MIS, economic analyses, and policy research writing. He is passionate about migration-refugee crisis, decoding and mitigating disinformation mechanisms, and has written extensively on these topics, among others.
Alron holds a bachelor’s in economics from the University of Mumbai and is currently pursuing a Diploma in International Affairs.
Hrishikesh works as a Research Assistant at NEERMAN where he applies his skills to the development of impact assessment. Apart from this, he volunteers his time by working for various projects and activities associated with the Rotaract.
He holds a Master's degree in Social Work from the University of Mumbai.
Anshuman manages our survey research and data division. He leads a critical position that ensures researchers need for quality data are met on time and within budget.
He has an MPhil in Population Studies from IIPS, Mumbai and a Master’s degree in Population Education and Rural Development from the University of Lucknow. Prior to joining NEERMAN, he worked with UNICEF (UP) and IIPS.
Rupam is working as a Senior Research Associate at NEERMAN. She has over 4 years of work experience in social/ development sector. Her area of interest is in domains like population and development, maternal and child nutrition, education, reproductive and child health, gender issues, transgender study etc. She holds her Master's degree in Population Studies from International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS, Mumbai) and Bachelor’s from University of Delhi.
Anil has more than 25 years of experience in the area of data management and analysis. Previously he has worked with Nielsen India Pvt. Ltd. He is adept in facilitating operations for projects using CSPro (Version 7.6) Data Entry package and analysis of data using statistical package for social science (SPSS). He has proven ability in maintaining large databases and conducting field training of CAPI related aspects.
Free or highly subsidized power for farm irrigation has been a cornerstone of India’s agricultural policy since the 1970s, but it also results in high subsidies, technical and commercial losses, and ultimately poor service to the consumers. Government of India is investing billions to separate feeders that supply power to farmers from other consumers for better regulation, measurement and quality of supply. However, no robust evidence was available on whether and how these infrastructure improvements benefit the end consumers. NEERMAN in partnership with Asian Development Bank and Central Discom Madhya Pradesh undertook an impact evaluation of the Feeder Separation Project in Madhya Pradesh. The study proved that feeder separation benefit farm and non-farm consumers by decreasing power theft, increasing coverage of electrical connections, reducing irrigation, and reducing the use of diesel.
Read the study results in this published manuscript (paid access) or the summary in our blogs.
In a partnership between UC Berkeley, UCSF, IFPRI and NEERMAN – one of the largest mHealth programmes in the world with support from the World Bank, Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the Government of India. The study included multiple types of evaluations at multiple points in time. In addition to a strong research role from proposal to publication stages, NEERMAN also collected data from over 800 villages in Madhya Pradesh and Bihar and 6000+ mother-child dyads, 1500+ community workers for the evaluation and several interim surveys for process evaluation using qualitative and quantitative research methods. The study identified what mHealth can and cannot do and resulted in programmatic and policy decisions at national level about revamping the technology for nutrition programmes.
The study is published in a peer-reviewed journal – British Medical Journal (BMJ).
NEERMAN in collaboration with UNICEF and Ministry of Drinking Water and Sanitation undertook a CBA of the Swachh Bharat Abhiyan. Data came from household surveys from twelve Indian states that once contributed to over 90 per cent of open defecation in India. The time and money spent by households in building and maintaining toilets were monetised. Along with this, the government’s investments in subsidies and campaign activities were also costed out. Reductions in medical costs and mortality associated with diarrheal diseases, productive time saved from fewer diarrhoea cases and accessing outside defecation and an increase in the property value of having a toilet were all monetized as benefits. The findings of this study were presented to a high-power committee led by the chief economic advisor of India and used by the PMO and other prominent ministers as proof of the success of SBM.
The study findings are also published in the World Development Journal.
NEERMAN was the Monitoring, Evaluation and Learning partner for UNICEF’s Adolescents Empowerment Programme for a period of three years between 2016-2019. Under the partnership, NEERMAN collaborated in developing the monitoring-evaluation-learning framework and plans for the national programme, collected multiple rounds of monitoring surveys across four programme states, developed android and multilingual quarterly process motoring systems for partner NGOs of UNICEF. Further, we managed data from multiple sources and analysed it for actionable inputs, conducted secondary data analysis to generate policy insights, participated in national and state workshops as a technical resource agency and advisors, helped several state offices develop monitoring systems and design evaluations in the child protection sector.
This primer is specially written for international researchers, universities and Institutes working or want to work in India.
The primer gives an overview of taxation, visa, insurance, ethics, and contracting and funding research in India. We have also included suggestions and tips to help avoid costly mistakes international researchers often make.
Dr. Sumeet Patil - Founder and Research Director at NEERMAN - has covered the following key points:
▪️ The concept of 'causality' and why RCTs are theoretically best suited to prove causality
▪️ Differences in random sampling and randomization
▪️ Various design options for RCTs in social sciences
▪️ Ethics of RCTs
▪️ Practical insights into the planning and management of RCTs.
In this video, Dr Milindo Chakrabarti - a Monitoring and Evaluation Specialist, and a Professor and Associate Dean at Jindal School Of Government and Public Policy - has covered the following key points:
▪️ What is evaluation?
▪️ Why evaluation matters?
▪️ How evaluation contributes to developmental change?
This video will also clarify your doubts about:
▪️ The concept of evaluation and why their importance is magnifying each passing day
▪️ How is evaluation different from monitoring
▪️ When and why should you use evaluations
▪️ Practical insights into how evaluations contribute to the society
Pritesh is the backbone of the data processing and analytics division at NEERMAN and is responsible for data reporting, CAPI Design, STATE and ODK work in close collaboration with the Senior Data Manager. He also manages teams of assistants for data processing and QAQC. Pritesh holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Commerce from the University of Mumbai.
Vishal contributes to every phase of the project life cycle — from design, implementation, to report-making. With his sharp analytical skills and background in Econometrics, he regularly conducts data analysis on Excel and STATA. He has previously worked on a Health Impact Evaluation project and successfully carried out cost-effectiveness analyses using tools like Impact2 and LiST.
Vishal has a Master’s degree in Public Policy from the Jindal School of Government and Public Policy, OP Jindal Global University and a Bachelor’s in Computer Science and Engineering from the Manipal Institute of Technology, Manipal University.
Simran collaborates with the internal team on research frameworks, CAPI and proposal development.
Simran has completed a Bachelor’s degree in Economics from KC College, University of Mumbai, and a Master’s degree, also in Economics, from the Mumbai School of Economics and Public Policy, University of Mumbai. After post-graduation, Simran has worked on a project on digital financial Inclusion for migrants, on the Interstate Migrant Policy Index (IMPEX 2019), and in behavioural sciences.
Varsha contributes her quantitative skills as a Research Associate at NEERMAN and works on developing impact assessment and evaluation frameworks. She holds a Bachelor’s degree in Economics and a Master’s in Applied Social Psychology from the Royal Holloway, University of London. Prior to joining NEERMAN, she worked on impact assessment projects in the education sector.
As a Research Associate at NEERMAN, Debangana collaborates with our partners on projects focusing on qualitative data analysis, process evaluation and documentation. She is also a researcher-in-residence at our Assam field research office.
Debangana did her Bachelor's in Sociology from the Lady Shri Ram College for Women and has a Master's in Sociology from Jamia Millia Islamia University. Previously, she has worked at a non-profit focusing on spreading awareness about menstruation and related topics.
Moushumi Maiti is part of the Research Project management team and is primarily involved in efficient implementation of projects. She has over 6 years of work experience in project implementation, policy research, planning and execution in domains like education, early childhood nutrition, gender and women's issues, disability, and child rights. Moushumi has a double Master's degree in Management from the K J Somaiya Institute of Management Sciences and in Social Work from the Delhi School of Social Work.
Lancy leads the Operations and Administration Division at NEERMAN. She is responsible for overseeing HR, contracting, regulatory compliance, finance, and taxation.
Lancy holds a PG Diploma in Finance and a Master’s degree in Commerce, both from the University of Mumbai.
Suresh heads the field survey and data division at NEERMAN and is responsible for the quality of measurements and data collection. He has more than 20 years of extensive experience in operations and leadership in marketing research. He has overseen both quantitative and qualitative studies during this time.
Suresh has a Bachelor’s degree in Commerce from the University of Mumbai and has held leadership positions in survey agencies such as Milward Brown, GfK, and TNS.
Amit heads the data processing and analytics group at NEERMAN and is responsible for developing android apps for surveys, dashboard visualizations and analyses, CSPro data entry systems, developing monitoring systems using SaaS platforms, quality audits of primary data, and processing of survey data for further analysis.
Amit holds a Diploma in Marketing Management from the Welingkar Institute of Management Development and Research, Mumbai, a Diploma in Population Studies from the Indian Institute of Population Studies, Mumbai, and a B.Sc. (Physics) degree from the University of Mumbai.
OP manages NEERMAN's field surveys in the Central and Northern states of India, in the Hindi-speaking belt. He is a veteran with 25 years of extensive field work experience.
Throughout his career, he has been responsible for the execution of large field studies as part of organizations such as the USAID, the World Bank, UNICEF and CARE India.
OP holds a Master’s Degree in Economics from Kanpur University.
Somalee heads the Center for Healthcare Transformation (Heat) which does cutting-edge and technology-driven research in public health systems.
As a Board-certified Internal Medicine physician practising in California, USA, Somali is involved in healthcare delivery research studying access to care at a large, fully integrated health system. She is experienced in health systems strengthening work in rural and urban settings in India and Malawi.
She holds an M.D. from Washington University in St. Louis and a Masters in Public Health from the University of California, Berkeley.
Gus leads the Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) Division that focuses on customized client offerings and strategic partnerships.
Prakash has over 16 years of experience in Research, Monitoring and Evaluation, with an approach of designing, developing strategies and implementation at the field level. He has a diverse measurement expertise in the domains of education, health and nutrition, HIV/AIDS, child rights, WaSH, gender equity, and audience measurement.
Prakash holds a Master's Degree in Population Studies with a specialization in demography.
Jijo leads the Growth and Partnerships Division and is responsible for driving business at NEERMAN.
He has over 9 years of experience in the domains of Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR), grant management, fundraising for nonprofits, and strategic institutional partnerships.
Jijo holds a Master's Degree in Economics from the University of Mumbai and a Bachelor's Degree in Economics from St. Xavier's College, Mumbai.
Nandish manages NEERMAN's research partnerships with international universities and strategic clients within India. He is also the administrative head of our New Delhi Research Office.
He has over ten years of experience managing research including study design, field management, questionnaire design, data analysis, and liaising with government officials, donors, and civil society organizations.
Nandish holds a Master's degree in Public Policy from Tufts University, USA, as well as a Master's Degree in Economics from the Gokhale Institute of Politics and Economics, Pune, India.
A passionate researcher and published writer, Sumeet is the force behind NEERMAN’s research and serves as a Director on NEERMAN's Board.
Before he founded NEERMAN, Sumeet worked at RTI International as a Senior Economist and at PRESTELS Mumbai as an Executive Engineer. He has also led a World Bank impact evaluation of a sanitation programme as a Staff Consultant.
Sumeet holds a PhD in Epidemiology from the University of California, Berkeley, and double Masters degrees in Economics and in Environmental Engineering from the NC State University.